Because the state of the pandemic is going so well in Alberta, Jason Kenney announced that they will start lifting some restrictions starting February 8th, and I am boggled. Just boggled. Kenney says that tagging the decisions to lifting restrictions to hospitalisation rates in three-week increments is somehow responsible because it’s a lagging indicator, but that’s precisely why it’s the wrong thing to do. It’s a lagging indicator. When hospitalisation rates go up, it’s already too late. New positives caught by testing can be up to two weeks behind infection, and hospitalisations can be a couple of weeks behind those, and this is a virus where the growth is exponential. It’s too late by then, and we have to remember that the province’s contact tracing still hasn’t been fully re-established after it got overwhelmed.
Kenney says they are easing restrictions based on hospitalization metrics.
HOSPITALIZATION IS A LAGGING INDICATOR, WHICH MEANS THAT IT’S ALREADY TOO LATE BY THE TIME THOSE RATES GO UP.— Dale Smith (@journo_dale) January 29, 2021
“If” cases move to exponential growth?
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH IS HOW THIS VIRUS WORKS!
This is criminally negligent.— Dale Smith (@journo_dale) January 29, 2021
“Let me pause there to say” that Kenney has obviously ignored everything we have learned in this pandemic.
I would say this is unbelievable, but no, it’s all too believable. Cripes.— Dale Smith (@journo_dale) January 29, 2021
The notion that you can have “just a little COVID” and re-open the economy does not work – it grows exponentially, and hospitals get overwhelmed. It especially will not work a second time now that there are UK and South African variants in the community, which are way more easily transmitted, and places like the UK saw infection curves that went nearly vertical. Kenney is demonstration that he has learned absolutely nothing over the past eleven months, and he’s willing to let more people die for the economy.
And now the scolding about people not taking personal responsibility while Kenney sends the message that re-opening is right around the corner.
He has learned nothing. Absolutely nothing.— Dale Smith (@journo_dale) January 29, 2021
You have to admire the stick-to-itiveness of the province trying again for a goldilocks strategy of just a little bit more COVID. If we could throttle COVID infection rates, we didn't we do it in October and November?
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) January 29, 2021
Patting yourself on the back for not implementing a lockdown while you have exponential growth and approaching 100 preventable deaths this week alone is quite a feat for Kenney.
— Dale Smith (@journo_dale) January 29, 2021
I also wanted to take particular exception to Kenney’s health minister, Tyler Shandro, and his insufferable whinging that because of the vaccine delays, that Canada and Alberta are “not a priority,” to which I am forced to ask why they should be. Why are we so special as a country that we deserve vaccines before anyone else, particularly those countries who have been much harder hit that we have been? And I get that he is counting on the vaccines as their way out because they let the infections spread so badly that their hospitals were overwhelmed, and they had to largely shut down their economy again, but that’s on him. Vaccines were never going to be the solution for many, many more months. This sense of entitlement that Shandro is exhibiting is extremely off-putting, and needs to be questioned and called out.
Shandro whines “Our country and our province are not a priority.”
Erm, why should they be? Serious question. What makes us so special that we deserve to be vaccinated before other countries, most of whom have had worse outcomes? #PnPCBC— Dale Smith (@journo_dale) January 29, 2021