Prime minister Justin Trudeau was back at Rideau Cottage yesterday morning, for what he promised would be the last “daily” briefing, though they haven’t been daily for a few weeks now. And there really wasn’t anything new to announce – yet another reminder that the Canadian Emergency Business Account and commercial rent subsidies were good things, that there were still hotspots of pandemic around the country, but that we are making progress – but are not out of the woods yet – and oh, yeah, the New NAFTA comes into force on Wednesday. During the Q&A, Trudeau stated that American chest-thumping over tariffs only hurts them because they need Canadian aluminium as they can’t produce enough of their own. When asked about the Human Rights Watch report on Canadian foreign fighters being held prisoner in Syria, Trudeau insisted that they are preoccupied with the safety of diplomatic personnel in the region, and we don’t have any in Syria, which makes the complicated situation even more complex because most of these prisoners are facing charges. (Not everyone buys this argument). And when asked yet again about We Charities being given that contract, Trudeau again insisted that the advice of the public service was that only they could deliver on the scale that was required, and that some 25,000 students hand applied over the past few days, to prove the point.
A short while later, Dr. Theresa Tam gave her last regular update as well, as those pressers also take on a less daily pace, as well as unveiled new federal modelling numbers, which show that the pandemic is largely under control, but with the warning that people need to keep up good habits around distancing and hygiene, lest flare-ups start happening.
Dr. Tam says she’s been working 20 hours a day since the start of covid, so over the summer she’s planning on taking her own advice and trying to work a little less to balancing her mental and physical health. Dr. Njoo adds that he’s trying to convince to take some vacation!
— Mackenzie Gray (@Gray_Mackenzie) June 29, 2020
Meanwhile, in Alberta, Jason Kenney and his finance minister unveiled their economic recovery plan, and it was complete with mistruths, and tired magical thinking that tax cuts will automatically create jobs (when these rapid cuts will only benefit existing players rather than attract future ones), or that hectoring tech firms for not upping sticks to relocate to the “cheap rents” of Calgary and lower taxes as being “irresponsible.” So yeah, good luck with that. Meanwhile, here’s Andrew Leach with a bit of a fact check.
Alberta actually fell into recession in 2019, but yes go on. https://t.co/aVoQf7xsPH https://t.co/90gWYSvkwK
— Jason Markusoff (@markusoff) June 29, 2020
The Finance Minister is wrong. His own ministry's economic index says so. No, 2020 was not looking good. In fact, almost every major economic forecast had downgraded their AB 2020 outlook over the last half of 2019. #ableg pic.twitter.com/OyvZtCTvU0
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) June 29, 2020
Flash back to late 2018, even before the UCP government were elected: the outlook was pretty solid and things were looking up. RBC, for example, was predicting AB real GDP growth of 1.5% and 2.7% for 2019 and 2020 respectively:https://t.co/TmXMPpDahehttps://t.co/svcTpockvp
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) June 29, 2020
In that June 2019 report, the second bullet read: "Alberta’s economy facing challenges: Mandated oil production cuts by the government have been scaled back but effects
of last fall’s oil price tumble will continue to impact the economy negatively in 2019."— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) June 29, 2020
By December of 2019, we see another downgrade of the long term outlook for economic growth, holding the 2019 estimate at 0.6% and lowering 2020 again, to 1.7% growth. That's a full percentage point deduction in the 2020 outlook from Dec 2018 to Dec 2019.https://t.co/VuPjPdNBsc
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) June 29, 2020
For 2019, Alberta had the worst performance of all the Canadian provinces in terms of nominal or real GDP growth or employment growth. Not below average. Not just worse than forecast. The worst. In Canada. pic.twitter.com/ZW1mfrkDo7
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) June 29, 2020
Demand better.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) June 29, 2020