In the wake of the statements in the Commons earlier this morning on the ongoing protests and blockades across the country, the benches were full and all of the leaders were present for QP. Andrew Scheer led off, mini-lectern on desk, and he read some of his same condemnation for the government not dealing with the Wet’suwet’en hereditary chiefs in favour of those who support Coastal GasLink. Justin Trudeau noted that they are concerned with dialogue, and that he invited other parliamentary leaders to discuss the matter but not Scheer because he disqualified himself after this morning’s statement. Scheer insisted that Trudeau was elevating “professional protesters” with those Indigenous communities that wanted these projects, and demanded a date for the blockades to come down, and Trudeau reminded him that they need solutions for the long term. Scheer decried the lack of action, and Trudeau said that they needed to ensure there was long-term partnership so that Canadians could rely on their transportation network rather than short-term violent action. Scheer again tried to insist that Trudeau was pandering to activists, and Trudeau reminded him that the Conservatives couldn’t get projects built because they would pick and choose who they would engage with. Scheer got increasingly breathy and high-pitched as he demanded action, and Trudeau reminded him that five years ago, Canadians chose parties who were committed to reconciliation. Yves-François Blanchet was up next for the Bloc, and he expressed his concern that Québec and Canada’s image was one where Indigenous communities were opposed to development, and wanted some clarity on the timeline for when blockades would be lifted. Trudeau stated that they were still committed to dialogue, and that was the first step to lifting the barricades. Blanchet asked for future meetings on the issue, and Trudeau said that he was open to that — for parties that wanted to engage constructively. Jagmeet Singh was up next, and demanded to know when the federal government would meet with the Wet’suwet’en hereditary chiefs, but they were waiting on them. Singh wanted concrete action now, but pivoted to record-keeping on Indigenous kids in care, go which Trudeau reminded him that child and family services were provincial jurisdiction and they were working to devolve that to First Nations themselves.
Tag Archives: China
Roundup: Call in the Incident Response Group
Given the ongoing protests and rail blockades, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has opted to skip the Caribbean leaders’ summit next week, and will instead be remaining in Ottawa to convene with his Cabinet ministers and the Incident Response Group over the ongoing situation. Layoffs have already begun, and there are concerns about shortages along the supply chains as the blockades continue. On Saturday, minister Marc Miller met with Mohawk leaders in Ontario, responsible for the blockade there, and after a day-long meeting reported “modest progress” and items that he would have to discuss with his Cabinet colleagues as a result. Minister Carolyn Bennett, meanwhile, is holding conversations with chiefs in BC, and is awaiting a meeting between them and the province’s Indigenous affairs minister, but it all may be for naught as the Wet’suwet’en hereditary chiefs insist that they won’t allow the pipeline regardless.
Meanwhile, when it comes to that pipeline route, here is a look at some of the backstory involved – particularly why the alternate routes that those hereditary chiefs proposed were deemed unsuitable by the company (and there is a lengthy thread here where the journalists shows his work). This will be an interesting question around duty to consult, attempts at offering accommodations, and what the legal paths are in light of the police actions to enforce court orders (which led to the sympathetic protests and blockades).
At the same time, the calls continue by certain voices that the police need to step in and enforce the “rule of law.” Except that the government can’t actually order them to do anything. Here’s Jennifer Robson with an explanation as to why not.
There’s been a lot of opinion flying about on whether the PM/Min. PSEP could/should order the RCMP to remove #Wetsuwenten protesters & supporters. I just stumbled across a paper by @UofT Kent Roach & found it really helpful : https://t.co/IDRNmXZxuT 1/n
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) February 15, 2020
And here’s Justice Hughes reminding folks of the duty of the RCMP to respect Charter rights, whether political masters like it or not. 3/n pic.twitter.com/ftoRcRUtO9
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) February 15, 2020
https://twitter.com/JenniferRobson8/status/1228805396179116033
Roundup: Open letters and complications
Alberta premier Jason Kenney took the next step in his performance art when it comes to demanding the approval of the Teck Frontier mine, and released an open letter to Justin Trudeau, which reiterated his points for the approval of the project. Of course, he didn’t actually tell the truth with all of those points, which is kind of awkward. (And hey, CBC, you could have done more than just retype Kenney’s letter and actually include some of the pushback, like Andrew Leach’s fact-checking).
A 4 page letter. I'm curious how we define "best-in-class" in this context. It's lower ore grade, higher total volume to be moved per unit bitumen, higher emissions per barrel relative to projects within its class. https://t.co/V888Y5rceA
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 10, 2020
I don't understand this quote. I'd agree that Teck has done a lot of things right in the assessment process, but it's a tough reach to say it would be best in class. pic.twitter.com/0fWlU07kVX
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 10, 2020
Fun calculation. Let's take the claim that Teck would be half the oil sands GHG/bbl average at face value. Their projected emissions are 40kg/bbl. If that's true, at 3 million barrels per day, current oil sands emissions are 88Mt/yr.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 10, 2020
Leach also has some problems with the lack of a viable reclamation plan for the project’s end-pit lakes, which is kind of a big deal, because it does seem like they’re trying to handwave away the problem, and hope that maybe in the future they’ll have a magic new technology that will solve the problem. That’s not a good thing. (Thread here).
Meanwhile, the federal decision on the Teck Frontier mine may be complicated as at least one affected First Nation says their concerns aren’t being addressed by the province, which is kind of a big deal. In fact, he said that the federal government has been doing their part, but the province under Kenney’s government has pretty much walked away after the previous government was doing the work with them – hence why they’re calling for the project to only be conditionally approved, with the condition being that the province be given a deadline to complete their talks with the First Nation and addressing their concerns about the impacts that the project (if it goes ahead, which it likely won’t anytime soon) would have on their local environment. It would seem to me that it’s a problem that Kenney keeps insisting they have full Indigenous sign-off on the project if in fact they actually don’t – but the truth hasn’t stopped him at any point thus far.
Roundup: Kenney’s Washington mistruths
Apparently the lure of trying to wade into American politics was too strong for Jason Kenney to resist over the weekend, and he joined Doug Ford in taking swipes at Democratic Party hopefuls over the Keystone XL issue, before telling a Washington audience that Justin Trudeau’s former principal secretary, Gerald Butts, had conspired with the Obama administration to kill the Keystone XL pipeline – which is funny, because it was during the Harper government, and Trudeau has been on the record of being fully supportive of Keystone XL the whole time. Kenney’s Mini-Me, Scott Moe, insisted that this fable was “absolutely correct,” which is a lie in and of itself. And of course, people brought their receipts.
Reminder of the historical record. Here’s a 2013 piece reporting on Trudeau making the case for KXL, in DC, to Democrats. https://t.co/sNfAmqnO2m
— Gerald Butts (@gmbutts) February 7, 2020
The conversations that mattered on KXL were fully in the public view. Canada walked away from joint climate policy with the US, and then walked away from stringent oil sands policy in late 2013. Obama's decision was a no-brainer.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
Want to catch up on what happened between Canada, the US, and KXL, this is a great read. They gave up on KXL, pivoted to Gateway, which they later also gave up on. As ever, you can see that if you watch the presser announcing NGP approval by cabinet. https://t.co/GlZ9pH1tls
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
Of course, Kenney has nothing to fall on but lies about the state of the oil industry in order to keep the attention off of himself and his government’s failings in trying to manage the shifting economy – and his convenient target is always Justin Trudeau, whom he needs to keep his voters angry at as a means of distraction. That said, his audience laps it up, and that has pretty much eliminated any sense of shame that Kenney had left. There was a piece in this weekend’s tablet edition of Maclean’s that interviewed so-called “Wexit” supporters, and they all repeated the same memes and lies that Kenney and company peddle, along with a healthy amount of self-delusion, that Kenney also stokes by way of his rank dishonesty. He is continuing to play with fire, as he feels he’s clever enough to put it out and be declared a hero before it gets too big, and trying to do it from Washington is not only a sign of hubris, but possibly of his own desperation.
Revisionist history prevents us from learning the true lessons of the past.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
Roundup: Escalating costs for compliance
The over-the-top rhetoric over energy projects in this country hasn’t been limited to the Teck Frontier mine decision. No, we got a new round of it yesterday when Bill Morneau disclosed that the Trans Mountain expansion pipeline costs have increased to $12.6 billion, in part because of environmental changes and accommodations for local First Nations. Predictably, both the Conservatives and project opponents lost their minds – the Conservatives melting down that this was somehow because of this government’s delays (erm, you know there were court processes in between, right?), apparently oblivious to the fact that this was the cost of compliance to get it built; the opponents because of the increased price tag over a project that they are certain will increase carbon emissions (even though it is more likely to decrease them as those contents would simply flow by rail otherwise). Jason Kenney, of course, takes the cake for his own outsized rhetoric on the matter.
Funny that Northern Gateway wasn't done in 2 or 3 years. Perhaps because it wasn't a national priority? https://t.co/lNGO36XLsJ
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
These projects are incredibly complex and require a lot of work both in the application/hearing phase and after decisions are made both in consultation and route selection, let alone construction. @jkenney knows all this because he's been there, at the table.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
What's that you say? TMX? It was not even through the regulatory process after 2 years under a process designed entirely by the Harper government. I'll invite you to recall who the senior minister in cabinet from Calgary was at the time.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 8, 2020
From Washington DC, Kenney and his Mini-Me, Scott Moe, were both being remarked upon for how toned down their rhetoric has been of late (which I contend has to do with Trudeau and Freeland calling their bluff on their “equalization” bullshit), but they certainly kept up it up around Teck Frontier, and Alberta’s environment minister was thundering about the news reports of a possible federal “compensation package” if the approval was not granted – which was, of course, full of lies about the merits of the Teck proposal. And the notion that the federal government simply needs to “get out of the way” pretends that the biggest woes are the price of oil, and the fact that the US shale boom has hobbled the viability of the oilsands.
This is wrong. There are plenty of proposed conditions in the EA. https://t.co/SNWCIVa0Jf
Pages upon pages upon pages of them. #ableg #cdnpoli https://t.co/uOy4q5WPVw
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 7, 2020
If the economic conditions that would enable Teck to build Frontier return, the cap would absolutely be in play. If the cap remains out-of-play, it's because nobody wants to build the 20+ other projects in the queue in addition to Frontier.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 7, 2020
Meanwhile, Heather Scoffield makes note of the fact that all reason has gone out of the “debate” over the approval of the Teck Frontier mine. As if to illustrate the point, Matt Gurney repeats a bunch of the well-worn justifications for approving the project under the notion that Alberta needs jobs and not bailouts, without seeming to recognize that it’s not currently economically viable, while ignoring that delays to TMX were not because of government action but Indigenous court challenges under their constitutional rights, or that there is a reason why the Conservatives ensured there was Cabinet sign-off on these decisions. Chantal Hébert points out that the Liberals will lose whichever way they decide on this project.
Roundup: The meaningless debate over Teck Frontier
The debate over approval of the Teck Frontier oilsands mine is reaching completely absurd levels, right up to warning that this will be an existential crisis for Confederation if the federal government rejects it. There is a fight brewing within the Liberal caucus, and Jason Kenney’s bombast is back to its dangerous stoking of anger for promises that nobody can deliver on. Conservative talking points, as with Kenney’s, are full of complete mistruths about the proposed emissions targets of the mine if it goes ahead, and they exaggerate the initial environmental assessment, which was skeptical about many of the claims the company made about their emissions. That Teck has promised to try and be carbon neutral by 2050 is also something that should be taken with a massive grain of salt because they haven’t outlined how they’ll get there, and it sounds an awful lot like technosalvation – that they hope to develop some miracle technology between now and then.
And it’s just so stupid because it’s unlikely that the project would even go ahead even if it were granted approval, and yet this is somehow supposed to be the great saviour of the Alberta economy. It won’t be. Teck has stated that even if they get approval, they would need another partner, more pipeline capacity, and the price of oil to be at least $75/barrel, and it’s currently sitting around $50, and unlikely to start climbing anytime soon as the global supply glut continues, and the shale boom in the US continues to drive down prices.
Nevertheless, a number of outlets are reporting that the federal government is preparing a fiscal rescue package in the event that it doesn’t get approval, which people are already panning as tone deaf, and the death knell of investment in Canada, but not one of them is looking at the current economics – that even if approved, it’s not financially viable, and as Andrew Leach points out, there are plenty of other approved projects that are not moving ahead because it’s not economically viable. Should the government prepare fiscal rescue packages for that eventuality too? The problems in the province and in the sector are not the fault of the current federal government, as much as people like to blame them. It’s a bigger, structural problem that has been decades in the making, and the ship isn’t going to be turned on a dime. Blaming Trudeau won’t solve anything.
Here's what Suncor did today, at the project that is closest in every respect to Frontier. A $2.8 billion write-down on its share of the project. Pro-rated, that's a $5.25 billion dollar decrease in the value of the project. That's ~ $1.25b decrease in Teck's share of it.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 7, 2020
Suncor's realized value for Fort Hills bitumen (a good proxy for Frontier) was $48.96. Their cash operating costs were $28.90 $28.65. That doesn't include maintenance capital or any return on capital in place.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 7, 2020
Pro-rate that up to Fort Hills size, and it's not getting any return on $20b initial capex in 40 years.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 7, 2020
Meanwhile, if you think this is somehow related to the former Bill C-69 and its environmental assessment process, it’s worth a reminder that this assessment process is under the process that the Harper government put into place, and even then, it’s not like this project is getting anywhere. That should be another signal.
The regulatory framework around Frontier, CEAA 2012, explicitly continued political decision making rather than technocratic ones. If you don't like that, I can think of a few people with whom you can discuss those choices.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) February 7, 2020
QP: Melting down over court challenges
While the prime minister was off meeting with big city mayors before heading off to Ethiopia, Andrew Scheer was indeed present, and he led off and he read a bunch of complete lies about the supposed plan to “license” media, to which Steven Guilbeault, who reminded him that the panel recommendations specifically excluded news media and the government would not regulate news media. Scheer insisted that wasn’t good enough and the report somehow would impact free speech, and Guilbeault repeated his answer in English. Scheer tried again, and Guilbeault said that he would be happy to sit down with the opposition when they tabled a bill. Scheer then moved onto UNDRIP, and claimed it was an effective veto on energy projects, to which David Lametti said that they were moving ahead with legislation that would be co-developed with Indigenous people. Scheer tried to use the scare tactics of veto powers, and Lametti suggested that Scheer look at BC’s UNDRIP legislation and see that it is not a veto. Alain Therrien led off for the Bloc, and he railed about the Court Challenges Programme funding a challenge against Quebec’s “secularism” bill, for which Guilbeault said that the government doesn’t have any control over that funding, and that they Bloc should understand the notion of independence. Therrien asked if the government supported the challenge, to which Pablo Rodriguez said that the legislation is being challenged by Quebeckers and that the government was following with interest. Jagmeet Singh was up next for the NDP, and demanded changes to the federal bankruptcy laws to prioritise workers, to which Navdeep Bains said that they had made some commitments in the last budget. Singh then demanded to know how much had been spent on legal fees for the challenge around the First Nations compensation, to which David Lametti said that reports of legal fees are calculated according to a set formula.
Roundup: A sledgehammer solution
Talk about the sexual assault training for judges bill has continued, and the Conservatives have continued to float the idea that it should be expanded to include Parole Board officers. The problem there, of course, is that the bill deals with amendments to the Judges Act, which has bugger all to do with the Parole Board, and this too-cute-by-half tactic of the Conservatives betrays how boneheaded their tactics are.
Meanwhile, Gib van Ert, former Executive Legal Officer to the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Canada (who heads the Canadian Judicial Council), has some thoughts on the bill and why it’s very problematic.
Here’s the press release for C-5. The bill is similar to, but not the same as, Rona Ambrose’s private member’s bill C-337 that failed to make it through Parliament in the last session.https://t.co/OTFZS3VwW6
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
C-5 amends this by folding paragraphs (a) and (b) into each other and making a new para. (b) about continuing education on matters related to sexual assault law and social context: pic.twitter.com/kgXr1bIfbN
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
We’ve had judicial education for a long time, and there has long been a sense of professional duty among judges to take courses. But we’ve never required aspiring judges to take training as a condition of employment. And we’ve never singled out one area of law for training.
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
But here's my slippery slope argument (SSA). Let me first say I dislike SSAs. Life is full of slopes and you can’t always go around them. A lot of SSAs are alarmist—the risk is too small to worry about or the benefit way outweighs the risk. So be skeptical of SSAs—including mine.
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
If bill C-5 goes through, the eligibility requirements for judges will go from experience only (10 years at the bar) to experience plus willingness to commit to taking specified training courses. Who specifies the training? Parliament. Which usually means the government.
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
But what will federal governments add to this new judicial syllabus in future? Lots of groups will think—with good reason—that their concerns and interests also merit mandatory judicial training.
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
But the syllabus could still be improved. Canada is colonial state with major, ongoing problems over indigenous rights and reconciliation. The justice system is where much of these struggles play out. We need to do better. So: pic.twitter.com/ahPZN7ify0
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
So far I’ve been adding what might be regarded as progressive concerns to the judicial syllabus. But this new tool can be used by governments of all political stripes: pic.twitter.com/YH2Hdta39e
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
To some extent judges *can* be given marching orders. Every statute is a sort of marching order for judges. What’s the difference between telling judges what laws to enforce and telling them what courses to take?
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
Judges give effect to laws. But they also scrutinize government and legislative action. People need to believe judges really are independent from governments, or they will lose confidence in the system. Why sue the government if the judge is a government stooge?
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
I won’t venture an opinion about whether bill C-5 is unconstitutional in the technical sense of being of no force and effect because inconsistent with the written constitution. But it's at odds with our constitutional structure and ethos. It's not a path we should go down.
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
Second: the Judges Act applies to all federally appointed judges, includes some who never conduct sexual assault trials or appeals. Forcing an aspiring Tax Court judge to take sexual assault training (at public expense) is odd.
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 5, 2020
Some scholars have shrugged and say “Big deal if it means they get more training,” but the original legislation was far more insidious in that the reporting requirements were a threat do the administrative independence of the court as well. But I’ve spoken to former judges who say this is unnecessary. Another one responded to van Ert. Part of the problem is that there have been high profile cases where the judge has been very wrong on sexual assault law, and that tends to be overturned at the appellate level – but much of the time, the most infamous cases have been provincial court judges, which this doesn’t deal with.
Which raises the question, Why is the government doing this? What problem is this meant to solve? https://t.co/mMUQxmJQRt
— Gib van Ert (@gibvanert) February 6, 2020
So why are they doing this? Optics. MPs want to look like they’re doing something about the problems or perceived problems, and they’re taking the sledgehammer approach because it looks effective, even when it may not actually be. But that is so much of politics these days, which we need to start breaking out of.
QP: Fictional legislation and crass quips
Wednesday, caucus day, and MPs were riled up in the aftermath. Andrew Scheer led off, and he recited some concern about the state of the Trans Mountain pipeline, to which Justin Trudeau expressed his satisfaction with the Federal Court of Appeal and that the previous government couldn’t get it done without boosterism. Scheer then tried to hand-wave about fictional “emergency legislation” around court challenges and worried about the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples as a “new threshold” to prevent development, to which Trudeau called out the whole question as a reflection of how the Conservatives don’t understand how things work. Scheer tried again, and Trudeau called out the misinformation. Scheer switched to French to worry about the supposed “plan” to license media, to which Trudeau picked up a script to read that they would not impose licensing on news. Scheer changed to English and lied about what was in the report, as well as the media “bailout” fund, and Trudeau slowly enunciated that they would not impose licenses on news organisations or regulate news content. Yves-François Blanchet was up next for the Bloc, and he rambled about they English School Board of Montreal getting money to challenge the “secularism” bill, to which Trudeau started that the Court Challenges Programme awards aid to groups in an arm’s length way from government. Blanchet tried to make this an issue of provincial jurisdiction, to which Trudeau repeated that programme was independent of government. Jagmeet Singh was then up for the NDP, and complained about the backlogs for women regaining First Nations status after the law changed to broaden the criteria. Trudeau started that they have spent record amounts to Indigenous communities, and it takes longer because the delivery needs to be done in partnership with those communities. Singh then moved onto the Coast Gas Link pipeline dispute, demanding that the prime minister meet with the hereditary chiefs, to which Trudeau stated that the issue was entirely under provincial jurisdiction, which they respect.
https://twitter.com/AaronWherry/status/1225141168683606017
Roundup: Rushing a resurrected bill
The government made good on their promise yesterday to re-introduce Rona Ambrose’s bill on sexual assault training for judges, and to their credit, they tabled an amended bill that does take into account most of the criticisms of the previous version of the bill that likely would have rendered it unconstitutional because it interfered with judicial independence in pretty much every respect. (See my story here). Not that you’d know it from some of the reporting – the CBC in particular has been absolutely allergic in looking into what the objections to the bill were, and why they made it unworkable and unconstitutional, preferring to blame the Senate as being an “old boys’ club” rather than objecting to an unworkable and unconstitutional bill – you know, like they’re supposed to.
But despite every party supporting the bill, that didn’t stop them from getting cute with it. The Conservatives, for example, suggested in Question Period that the government amend the bill so that it also includes training for Parole Board members – which is out of step for the language in the bill. Because, seriously, the Canadian Judicial Council is not going to provide that training, as the bill stipulates that they do for judges. And then Jagmeet Singh decided he too was going to be cute, after QP, and move that the House vote to pass the bill at all stages in one fell swoop, with no scrutiny. The Conservatives blocked that (possibly to put on a show about their floated notion about Parole Board officers), but seriously, Singh was completely offside in moving the motion in the first place.
The previous version of the bill was fatally flawed, but it passed the House of Commons unanimously because it hadn’t been properly studied. They sent it to the Status of Women committee, which has no expertise in the legal system and how it operates, and they focused on survivor-based training, which actually turns out to be problematic because it could potentially bias the training, particularly when it comes to the presumption of innocence before the law. It wasn’t until the bill reached the Senate that its flaws were actually discussed, but hey, it sounded like a good idea so all MPs passed it without thinking. Let me be clear – that’s a terrible way to pass laws, and it’s MPs abandoning their roles. As a former criminal defence lawyer, you would think that Singh might appreciate the problems inherent in the bill, particularly when it comes to bias and judicial independence – the latter of which I challenged him on in a scrum after QP – and he was completely oblivious to it, mouthing platitudes about sexual assault survivors. That’s not how Parliament is supposed to work. It would be great if our opposition parties could do their jobs, but it increasingly feels like it’s too much to ask. (The same goes for you, CBC).
I’m not necessarily against this. But it is not such a clear issue. Judicial independence is important. And this bill should be fully studied and debated. What about mandatory education on issues of race, marginalization, and systemic discrimination? Wrongful convictions? https://t.co/55rWj23cKT
— Michael Spratt (@mspratt) February 4, 2020