Erin O’Toole paid a visit to Quebec premier François Legault yesterday, and immediately promised to give away the farm to Legault if he were to become prime minister – capitulating on Bill 21 and letting Legault expand it (in spite of the Conservatives insisting that they are all about religious freedom), signing over the language rights of federal industries in the province, and promising more provincial transfers with no strings attached, all in the name of “provincial autonomy.” At the same time, O’Toole danced around the question of pipelines, which Legault opposes and O’Toole is in favour of shoving down the throat of a province in spite of his talk of “autonomy,” so his record of policy incoherence continues unabated. (As an aside, it seems to me that giving Quebec everything it demands wouldn’t actually win O’Toole Bloc votes, but rather empower the Bloc to say that they were so effective that they got everything the demanded).
This exchange with Legault made some waves in Alberta, where the visions of Energy East continue to evade reality. So while Rachel Notley tries to score points against O’Toole, and her UCP opponents try to score their own points, here’s energy economist Andrew Leach calling out both sides on how wrong they are.
Energy East is not going to happen not matter who is PM. There isn't enough incremental transportation demand for barrels on top of Line 3, KXL and TMX. This was why EE was cancelled: so that AB and others would shift take-or-pay commitments to KXL when you were in office. https://t.co/KkU2K8UKGL
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) September 14, 2020
Erin O'Toole's meeting with BC Premier Horgan will be much more interesting for AB. How will his "provincial autonomy" pledge coincide with BC opposition to pipelines, LNG, etc. Energy East is a pipe (ha!) dream.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) September 14, 2020
In case you want more background:https://t.co/wvH44NFxiW
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) September 14, 2020
Bill C-69 was first read in the house in February of 2018, months after TC Energy cancelled Energy East in October of 2017. But, if we assume a time machine, this sequence of events makes perfect sense. https://t.co/PkrYWpWjwm
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) September 14, 2020
On the subject of Alberta’s oil patch, here is Leach laying out why the province over its past six premiers have engaged in a $26.4 billion boondoggle around building a refinery in the province and assuming all of the risk from their private sector partner, and will almost certainly wind up losing a hell of a lot of taxpayers’ money in the process. For everyone who insists that the province doesn’t subsidize the oil and gas sector, this is proof enough that such a claim is false, and it should enrage everyone in the province that their trust has been betrayed in such a way.