As Alberta heads into an election, one can be certain that Danielle Smith is going to wield the threat of the supposed “just transition” as a cudgel to attack Justin Trudeau and Rachel Notley. Nevertheless, there are issues around the future of work in the province as the oil and gas extraction industry changes—a process that began years ago, and is currently far more automated than it used to be.
We're not expected to reach the oil demand level that was expected by the end of 2020 before 2025. In case you were wondering about how the v-shaped recovery is going. pic.twitter.com/j2BqSFl5jZ
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
As Andrew Leach points out, the scale of the issue is something that the province will need to grapple with.
How well can we predict the energy transition? Here's Alberta's coal fleet predictions in 2017, 2019, and 2021. If you go back to the Climate Leadership Plan process, we were told that off-coal by 2030 was impossible and that none of the existing plants would be converted to gas. pic.twitter.com/CufN2u56tS
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
Why is Alberta worried when people start talking about Just Transition? A hint: pic.twitter.com/wl2tT505mq
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
Here's one with the focus a little further down the supply chain. Unfortunately, pipeline jobs are suppressed in the data, so I don't have those, but there are not many. pic.twitter.com/nbINPtpB0G
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
Today's 'just transition' graph. Resource industry jobs aren't easily replaced by jobs in other sectors. You can replace the hours, you can't likely replace the pay. pic.twitter.com/6Tjcx8f71U
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 28, 2023
Ukraine Dispatch:
The death toll from the overnight strike in Uman has risen to 23, with another two deaths from a separate strike in Dnipro. Ukrainian leadership say that they are “to a high percentage ready” to launch their spring counter-offensive, and that modern weapons will serve as an “iron first.” Meanwhile, president Volodymyr Zelenskyy hosted the presidents of Slovakia and the Czech Republic, while seven foreign ministers met with Ukraine’s foreign minister in Odessa, all of whom were expressing support for Ukraine as Ukraine pushes for more modern aircraft.
Uman… The rubble is still being cleared. There are already 13 dead. Two of them are children that can’t be identified. The fate of their parents is unknown… The rescuers will work until they make sure that no one else is left under the rubble. We can defeat Russian terror… pic.twitter.com/j6jk8HZWkq
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) April 28, 2023
Vuhledar under the fire of the Russians.
Video:Telegram/War in Ukraine pic.twitter.com/YpdUbhHKUr
— UkraineWorld (@ukraine_world) April 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/defenceu/status/1651966751268278272