As Alberta heads into an election, one can be certain that Danielle Smith is going to wield the threat of the supposed “just transition” as a cudgel to attack Justin Trudeau and Rachel Notley. Nevertheless, there are issues around the future of work in the province as the oil and gas extraction industry changes—a process that began years ago, and is currently far more automated than it used to be.
We're not expected to reach the oil demand level that was expected by the end of 2020 before 2025. In case you were wondering about how the v-shaped recovery is going. pic.twitter.com/j2BqSFl5jZ
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
As Andrew Leach points out, the scale of the issue is something that the province will need to grapple with.
How well can we predict the energy transition? Here's Alberta's coal fleet predictions in 2017, 2019, and 2021. If you go back to the Climate Leadership Plan process, we were told that off-coal by 2030 was impossible and that none of the existing plants would be converted to gas. pic.twitter.com/CufN2u56tS
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
Why is Alberta worried when people start talking about Just Transition? A hint: pic.twitter.com/wl2tT505mq
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
Here's one with the focus a little further down the supply chain. Unfortunately, pipeline jobs are suppressed in the data, so I don't have those, but there are not many. pic.twitter.com/nbINPtpB0G
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 27, 2023
Today's 'just transition' graph. Resource industry jobs aren't easily replaced by jobs in other sectors. You can replace the hours, you can't likely replace the pay. pic.twitter.com/6Tjcx8f71U
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) April 28, 2023
Ukraine Dispatch:
The death toll from the overnight strike in Uman has risen to 23, with another two deaths from a separate strike in Dnipro. Ukrainian leadership say that they are “to a high percentage ready” to launch their spring counter-offensive, and that modern weapons will serve as an “iron first.” Meanwhile, president Volodymyr Zelenskyy hosted the presidents of Slovakia and the Czech Republic, while seven foreign ministers met with Ukraine’s foreign minister in Odessa, all of whom were expressing support for Ukraine as Ukraine pushes for more modern aircraft.
Uman… The rubble is still being cleared. There are already 13 dead. Two of them are children that can’t be identified. The fate of their parents is unknown… The rescuers will work until they make sure that no one else is left under the rubble. We can defeat Russian terror… pic.twitter.com/j6jk8HZWkq
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) April 28, 2023
Vuhledar under the fire of the Russians.
Video:Telegram/War in Ukraine pic.twitter.com/YpdUbhHKUr
— UkraineWorld (@ukraine_world) April 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/defenceu/status/1651966751268278272
Good reads:
- The federal government has tabled a “comprehensive new offer” for civil servants, and the negotiations are going to continue through the weekend.
- From his New York appearances, Trudeau said that Canada won the Volkswagen battery plan in spite of more money on the table from the Americans.
- Trudeau also said out loud that he believes China is using slave labour when it comes to lithium production.
- Trudeau will be attending the King’s coronation in London next week (not that this was in any doubt because he’s our gods damned sovereign).
- Evacuation flights out of Sudan were halted after one of the factions fired on a Turkish aircraft leaving the airfield near Khartoum.
- The fiscal monitor shows that the federal government was in surplus for the first 11 months of the last fiscal year. Will it take a sudden dive at year-end? Stay tuned!
- Marco Mendicino and his American counterpart have come to an agreement about better tracing guns that were intercepted being smuggled into Canada.
- François-Philippe Champagne is threatening to step in if telecom companies don’t come to a deal regarding wireless access in Toronto’s subway system.
- Now that Bill C-11 has received royal assent, it’s up to the CRTC to do the regulatory work enabled by the legislation before web giants start paying into the system.
- CSE and NSIRA are having a “philosophical disagreement” about international law obligations around offensive cyber operations. (Eek!)
- There is once again a move to remove AFN national chief RoseAnne Archibald from the position, this time following the workplace harassment investigations.
- The Supreme Court of Canada ruled that a trial judge should not have dismissed allegations of serious police misconduct out of hand during a motion at trial.
- The former head of the Trudeau Foundation appeared at Ethics Committee to discuss that Chinese donation, and claims her predecessor misleading Canadians.
- Candidates for the upcoming Winnipeg South Centre by-election have been chosen, and the late Jim Carr’s son Ben is the Liberal nominee.
- Jared Wesley and Ken Boessenkool make the point that Danielle Smith is not really a conservative (which shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone who has paid attention).
- Susan Delacourt looks to the personal animosity that has been developing between Trudeau and Poilievre, on full display during QP every week.
- Colby Cosh savages Danielle Smith’s arena “deal” in Calgary and its effect on the upcoming election.
Odds and ends:
https://twitter.com/rcmpgrcpolice/status/1651972172640911360
https://twitter.com/rcmpgrcpolice/status/1652036267498938374
Today in 2001, then Prince Charles arrived with Chief Perry Bellegarde at a traditional ceremony at Wanuskewin Park, Saskatchewan. Charles was given a Cree name & a star blanket — a recognition of his close personal relationship with Canada’s Indigenous peoples. 🪶🍁#cdnpoli pic.twitter.com/kSI6AGjZ83
— Canadian Crown 🇨🇦 (@Canadian_Crown) April 28, 2023
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