There has been a number of competing threads in the ongoing Emergencies Act public inquiry, and a lot of police testimony that is contradictory, and contradicting their own documentary evidence. For example, one senior Ottawa police officer is claiming that they had the tow trucks all lined up and ready to go without the invocation of the Act—erm, except the documents don’t show that at all, and that they needed the Act to secure those services. There has also been a lot of alarming signs about the quality of police intelligence about the make-up of the occupation (which many leaders subsequently ignored anyway). The OPP did see an increasing risk of violence the longer it dragged on, particularly by those in the occupation who felt they were “at war” with the federal government, along with growing anti-police sentiment (presumably because police weren’t doing their bidding to arrest members of the government). The Commission has agreed to hear CSIS’ evidence behind closed doors.
Here’s former CSIS analyst Jessica Davis on the quality of that intelligence, and yikes:
There's a great deal of variation in the quality of reports, but many fail some basic tenets of intelligence reporting:
a) Neutral language
b) Well-articulated sources
c) Nuance and uncertainty
d) Free of logical fallacies
e) "in lane" reporting— JMDavis (@JessMarinDavis) October 26, 2022
In many cases, the sources of information aren't cited or referenced in any way. Sweeping statements are common, but what they're based on is anyone's guess.
— JMDavis (@JessMarinDavis) October 26, 2022
Logical fallacies have been present in several that I've seen, including the epic appeal to authority of Rex Murphy. I'd laugh if this wasn't such a serious matter.
— JMDavis (@JessMarinDavis) October 26, 2022
In short: this is not inspiring confidence. There appears to be a lack of professionalism in the intelligence function in many of these organizations (and I mean that as a lack of training & standards). And the federal level isn't immune either.
— JMDavis (@JessMarinDavis) October 26, 2022
I'm reviewing more of these documents and I want to clarify: there are some that are very good and very professional, with excellent expressions of uncertainty and judgments. But these are not the norm.
— JMDavis (@JessMarinDavis) October 26, 2022
Ukraine Dispatch, Day 245:
Both Russian and NATO forces carried out annual nuclear exercises, while Russia carries on its false narrative that Ukrainians plan to detonate a “dirty bomb” on their own soil in order to blame Russia—information operations entirely. While this was happening, Russian forces targeted 40 towns in Ukraine, killing at least two more people.
We’re working with international partners to detect, correct, and call out the Kremlin’s state-sponsored disinformation about Ukraine.
Read the latest information based on Canadian Forces Intelligence Command analysis. 1/6 pic.twitter.com/Lf81zOPU1l
— Canadian Armed Forces (@CanadianForces) October 26, 2022
The photos MFA Russia used for their "dirty bomb in Ukraine" claims are actually from 2010 and made by the Slovenian Radioactive Waste Management Authority. pic.twitter.com/GQdC318AwZ
— Bakhti Nishanov (@b_nishanov) October 26, 2022
Good reads:
- Justin Trudeau met with the head of the African Union Commission yesterday.
- The US Secretary of State is visiting Ottawa today, and on the agenda is what to do about requests for intervention in Haiti.
- The federal government and Quebec are bickering over the province’s investor immigration programme, saying they are approving people over their limit.
- The RCMP is running out of officers used in protection details as the number of threats against public officials grows.
- The RCMP are investigating so-called Chinese “police stations” established in Canada used as tools of intimidation and not simply assisting overseas nationals.
- The two women repatriated from ISIS detainment camps in Syria have been arrested upon their arrival in Canada, and one is facing charges.
- CBSA says that Russians and Belarussians facing sanctions are not barred from entry into the country, only that their assets are frozen.
- The Competition Bureau has concerns about WestJet’s proposed acquisition of Sunwing (but the minister will make the final decision).
- Census data shows that immigrants make up the highest proportion of the population since 1921 at 23 percent.
- The Conservative Party is fining Patrick Brown $100,000—the entirety of his “compliance deposit” for his leadership campaign.
- Jagmeet Singh insists his attacks on the Bank of Canada are different from Poilievre’s. (They’re still attacks on the Bank and its independence).
- Doug Ford showed up in Question Period at Queen’s Park to say that the Emergencies Act is a federal issue, so he shouldn’t have to testify. (Erm…)
- Former Saskatchewan Cabinet minister and convicted wife-killer Colin Thatcher was invited to attend the Saskatchewan Speech from the Throne.
- Incoming BC premier David Eby met with the province’s Lieutenant Governor in advance of the transition and swearing-in.
- Kevin Carmichael gives his assessment on the Bank of Canada’s 50-basis-point rate hike and the signals that are being sent.
- Heather Scoffield continues her campaign of grousing that interest rates are rising too quickly (because apparently she’s not worried about inflation entrenching).
- Paul Wells continues his remarks on the police testimony at the public inquiry, and tries to remain focused on the central question if the Act was necessary.
- Emmett Macfarlane muses about ways in which our parliamentary privileges should probably be updated, as some of them are now being abused.
Odds and ends:
For Xtra, I did a roundup of LGBTQ+ candidates in the Ontario municipal elections, and whether or not they were successful on Monday night.
Want more Routine Proceedings? Become a patron and get exclusive new content.
Poilievre shuns media for 40 days, says the media doesn’t like him! Since when is there a need for the media to like someone or are the news writers guided by personal feelings for someone? Frankly I think there is little reporting about the Polly-boy because he has nothing to say, period. Canadians don’t need words from the little rodent. He has no policies for them and anything that he says are lies anyway. Also most Canadians are to busy coping with their debts that they rang up by using their home equities as personal banks and trying to figure out how to pay off those 96 month car loans at 1% on 50-60 thousand dollars that include those nice cashbacks that the dealers suckered them into designed to payoff credit card debt so they could get financed in the first place. I notice that Polly is saying little about the bitcoin that was going to save Canadians during this tough time! Also no words from anybody in any government about the hundreds of billions in investments that were decimated by the downward cascade of the stock markets. Just something to think about…but where is Poilievre?