The Throne Speech commitment about automatic tax filings continues to make waves, particularly because it’s such an important component about ensuring that government benefits go to those who need them, and how it’s not happening currently. With that in mind, here’s Dr. Jennifer Robson with some additional context as to why this is a problem and why it’s a good thing the government is finally proposing to act on it.
In a paper out now in @canpublicpolicy, @saulschwartz & I estimate the share of Canadians who don't file a tax return, describe who they are and add up the benefits left on the table by non-filers. This builds on earlier work, i.e. this for @prospercan: https://t.co/kOUN3MvM6S pic.twitter.com/hhsw0YArtY
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) September 27, 2020
StatCan uses tax data to fill in income values in most surveys now. We deem someone a non-filer if that matching fails. There will be error (person filed but gave bad matching info on the survey; no SIN found so no match possible). Note: if no SIN, how likely is it they file?
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) September 27, 2020
Non-filing is more frequent for people below the poverty line. pic.twitter.com/PY5yAiFWPm
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) September 27, 2020
Next, we look at the $ values of cash benefits that non-filers would be missing. Note: we look at just 3 groups of benefits (GST credit, child credits, CWB) and using the 2015 benefit values. These benefits have increased in value since (esp child benefits). pic.twitter.com/nOhjV6SYd4
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) September 27, 2020
But even small amounts add up. We give a conservative estimate of $1.7B in benefits unpaid due to non-filing. We also talk about potential implications for accuracy of admin data that sets poverty lines, models policy impacts, etc..
— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) September 27, 2020
If $4,200 isn't enough to induce someone to file, then maybe we have a broader problem that information alone isn't going to fix.
Anyway, here's a link to the full paper: https://t.co/Z58uYu7BTQ— Dr. J Robson (@JenniferRobson8) September 27, 2020
Good reads:
- The Parliamentary Protective Service says they will be more visible after incidents of radicalized conspiracy theorists attempting to perform “citizen arrests.”
- The current dispute between Mi’kmaq and commercial fishers on the east coast is different from previous ones as this time, the government sides with the Mi’kmaq.
- The Atlantic Loop proposal may help blunt price impacts of getting those provinces off of coal-fired electricity, and may help restructure the Muskrat Falls’ debt.
- Here is a look at the thorny issue of border closures and what kinds of measures might be put into place in order to open them up to some extent.
- The WE Imbroglio has started a re-examination of WE’s overseas activities, and the fact that they may not be doing the kind of good that they claim.
- Bill Morneau is carrying on the exercise of lobbying to become the next secretary general of the OECD (even though it’s a hopeless cause).
- The federal Conservatives have come up with the rules for how to hold nomination meetings in unheld ridings under current pandemic conditions.
- In Ontario, the Progressive Conservatives scrambled to nominate all of their election candidates, even though Doug Ford claims he’s not going to call one anytime soon.
- Susan Delacourt talks to Jonathan Wilkinson about the green recovery, and climate change not being far behind the current pandemic.
- Chantal Hébert chronicles the lack of provincial will (outside of Quebec) to deal with childcare for nearly four decades, and why that may yet doom the current attempt.
Want more Routine Proceedings? Become a patron and get exclusive new content.
“The WE Imbroglio has started a re-examination of WE’s overseas activities, and the fact that they may not be doing the kind of good that they claim.”
Not Trudeau’s fault if the K-bros duped governments of all stripes at all levels in Canada and other countries. Not his fault either if the public service doing “due diligence” came up with nothing due to the battle smoke of offside arguments between them and Brown, spurred on largely by Brown’s personal vendetta.
None of this amounts to a “slush fund,” “money laundering,” “corruption,” or “bribery,” in the way the Clinton Foundation QAnon conspiracy theorists of the opposition and media keep trying to make fetch happen. With the Trump revelations this week, I’m convinced they’re desperate to make Trudeau a Trump-like caricature because they’ve seen the boon it’s presented for TV ratings and political points-scoring in the U.S.
Apparently the organization did do some good work, and there were kids who enjoyed it. But none of their “impact,” if it was negative, is Trudeau or the government’s to blame. This was a disgusting tale of sound and fury signifying nothing. Funny how the critics can’t decide if WE is good or bad depending on which way they want to paint the prime minister and even his poor mom as elitists and crooks.
Meanwhile, pandemic?