In the days ahead, you are likely to hear federal Conservatives start echoing Jason Kenney’s current justification for killing the province’s carbon price based on a report by the Fraser Institute. The problem? Well, the modelling that they used is based on a work of fiction, and not the plan that was actually implemented, and since the federal carbon price is closely based on the Alberta model, they will have roughly similar effects. But hey, why fight with facts when you can use fiction and straw men?
The report doesn't examine Trudeau's GHG policy, but a policy they made up. If Fraser used the same tools to analyse your TIER program, they'd get similar results since they don't assess the impact of credit allocation. You'd hate it if that shoe was on your foot, Premier. https://t.co/ecmFRgYRWN
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 24, 2019
I'm beginning to think that Alberta's Premier is not all that concerned about making sure all statements about Alberta's oil sands are accurate. I'm not even sure he's concerned about making sure his own statements about them are accurate. #ableg
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 24, 2019
Hey, look at what else the report said. Oh, and they didn't actually model Trudeau's carbon policy, but you know that and choose to spread falsehood anyway, Premier. pic.twitter.com/ByMpubZv7u
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 24, 2019
Also, you might consider that yelling loudly about foreign-funded entities making false statements and influencing our elections and also tweeting out false analysis from foreign-funded entities seeking to influence our election might strike some as hypocritical. #AbLeg #cdnpoli
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 24, 2019
And for the record, here is the EcoFiscal commission explaining how the Fraser Institute got it all wrong.
Quick background: Canada’s carbon pricing system has 2 parts: a fuel levy and an “output-based pricing system” (OBPS) for large emitters. An OBPS is a way to price carbon in sectors where a full carbon tax would cause production & emissions to shift to other jurisdictions. (2/10)
— Ecofiscal Commission (@EcofiscalCanada) August 22, 2019
The report’s analysis omits the fact that Canada is using an OBPS for this precise reason: to address competitiveness concerns. The modelling assumes the full $50/tonne price applies to large industrial emitters. This is not how the policy is actually designed. (4/10)
— Ecofiscal Commission (@EcofiscalCanada) August 22, 2019
In addition to modelling a policy that does not exist, the report relies on I/O tables instead of a CGE model and only examines short-run effects. This fails to capture behaviour & investment changes in response to policy. As a result, it significantly overestimates costs. (6/10)
— Ecofiscal Commission (@EcofiscalCanada) August 22, 2019
It seems to imply that treating firms differently based on emissions intensity is a bug rather than a feature. This design choice is deliberate. It rewards the best performers while providing all firms with an incentive to improve. (8/10)
— Ecofiscal Commission (@EcofiscalCanada) August 22, 2019
Output-based pricing is a way to price emissions from industrial sectors while other jurisdictions catch up on climate policy. The Fraser Institute’s analysis acts as if it simply doesn’t exist. (10/10)
— Ecofiscal Commission (@EcofiscalCanada) August 22, 2019
Good reads:
- An Ontario shipyard is accusing the federal government of stacking the deck to give Davie shipyard in Quebec more work without proper competition.
- A proposed $1 billion road from Yellowknife to an Arctic port in Nunavut may be of more benefit to China than Canada, as they own the mines in the region.
- A former Canadian diplomat to China and Hong Kong says the government needs to start imposing sanctions on individuals responsible for the crackdown.
- The RCMP say they’re closing in on the “CRA” phone scammers, including identifying Canadian accomplices.
- The Keystone XL pipeline cleared another hurdle as the Nebraska Supreme Court ruled that its permits were valid.
- Here’s a look at how ethnic media outlets are trying to encourage voting in their communities, where turnout may be lower than average.
- Senator Harder thinks that the prime minister should enshrine his Senate appointment committee in law, which is stupid and unconstitutional.
- Here’s a look at Liberal “maverick,” Nathaniel Erskine-Smith.
- Another Liberal MP, Eva Nassif, has opted not to run again citing personal reasons.
- The Conservatives have unveiled their campaign slogan, which is “It’s time for you to get ahead,” focusing on their affordability message.
- Some Maxime Bernier fanboys put up a billboard on his behalf outside of Halifax saying that he would end “mass immigration.”
- Bernier is listing high profile candidates in a bid to win a spot on the commission debates, but has no polls to suggest any of them can actually win.
- Jody Wilson-Raybould says she can’t comment on “inaccurate accounts” of the Double-Hyphen Affair going on in the media.
- Quebec has accepted forty percent fewer skilled immigrants in the first half of this year. Because it’s not like the province is suffering labour shortages or anything.
- Heather Scoffield contrasts the data on flatlined income inequality with the word on the ground about how poverty in Canada is changing.
- Kevin Carmichael is pessimistic about progress in heading off an economic crisis at the G7 meeting, as there are too many saboteurs around the table.
- Matt Gurney suggests that the Liberals’ dredging up Scheer’s 2005 anti-same-sex marriage speech is not “doing politics differently,” and that Scheer is weak on it.
- Chris Selley calls out Ralph Goodale’s positioning himself as the spear against Scheer on this particular issue as arrogant and hypocritical.
- Colby Cosh reminds us of the legal fictions that precipitated Canada acquiring Rubert’s Land as an example of Trump’s attempt to buy Greenland.
- My weekend column reads through Senator Harder’s “progress report,” and details how much of a smouldering trash fire it really is.
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“The Conservatives have unveiled their campaign slogan, which is “It’s time for you to get ahead,” focusing on their affordability message.”
Interestingly, the French slogan, according to La Presse, is: “Plus. Pour vous. Dès maintenant.” (“More. For you. Now”).
Which proves once and for all it’s not about “affordability.” Competitive, cutthroat selfishness is the Conservative way. In order for one to get ahead, that means leaving others behind. So basically, “screw you, I got mine.” GOP North. Or as IQ45 says, “it’s not whether you win or lose… it’s whether you WIN!” And to hell with everybody else. Jerks.
The conservatives are so backward that they promulgate the falsehood that the carbon levy will cost jobs. On the contrary, changes in our use of fossil fuels will lead to new jobs in technology, environmental advances in how we produce products, build housing, design infrastructure and protect our precious resources.
In related news, David Koch died. Good riddance to bad rubbish. Too bad the stench of lies from his and his brother’s stink tanks (like Fraser Institute, American Enterprise, etc.) didn’t get buried with him.
Oh, and as an addendum: Judge Jody the Executioner is married to the son of a Fraser Institute co-founder. So if anyone knows about inaccurate accounts, it’s her and her whole dysfunctional family of “truth tellers” aka agenda-driven BS artists. If “she can’t comment on ___” then she needs to shut up already and quit trying to extend her 15 minutes of infamy well past the expiry date. Go away spoiled princess, you are so 6 months ago. Sick of this self-aggrandizing, media-darling narcissist.