In a 3-2 decision, the Saskatchewan Court of Appeal has ruled that the federal carbon price backstop is not only constitutional, but it also qualifies as a regulatory charge and not a tax, which means that the way it’s being applied is also constitutional. Predictably, Scott Moe has vowed to take this to the Supreme Court of Canada (and a 3-2 decision made this a certainty if the political element wasn’t there already), while Catherine McKenna, predictably, called it a victory for the planet.
This is a crucial paragraph, at least for me. pic.twitter.com/1BeatAvwLO
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) May 3, 2019
In terms of analysis, here is the long thread from economist Andrew Leach’s reading fo the decision, and his commentary on what the dissenting judges got wrong is particularly illuminating. As well, economist Lindsay Tedds’ wheelhouse is the whole difference between taxes and regulatory charges, so she has some comments here. I would note that the majority decision is going to be some of the precedent that Ontario’s Court of Appeal will look at as they’re drafting their own ruling on the Ontario reference, and if New Brunswick, Alberta, and Manitoba proceed with their own challenges, it will help to inform them as well. But with it headed to the Supreme Court of Canada – as Ontario’s will inevitably as well, and everyone knows it – it may not make any more sense for those other provinces to carry on their own challenges as it’s unlikely that they’ll make any more novel arguments, and it would seem to be swifter for all involved to let the SCC process happen sooner than later (though it certainly won’t happen before the next election, and there is a hope among opponents that a Conservative win will render the whole issue moot if they scrap the federal law beforehand).
Jason Markusoff notes that while the court victory is a modest win for the Liberals, the continued carbon tax crusading by Kenney and Ford isn’t winning them much applause from the blue-chip Toronto corporations that they’re looking to attract with their “open for business” shtick. (Here’s a hint: Stop creating uncertainty by cancelling established environmental plans and creating political risk by cancelling projects and immunizing yourselves from litigation). Andrew Coyne, meanwhile, asserts that the ruling is a victory for common sense – as well as the planet.
Good reads:
- While Chrystia Freeland was meeting with members of the Lima Group over the situation in Venezula, Justin Trudeau was reaching out to Cuba’s president over it.
- Catherine McKenna is warning that Canada’s sluggish movement in tackling climate change could put the European trade agreement in jeopardy.
- The federal government announced that employers will be required to provide menstrual products for women in federally-regulated workplaces.
- The government will lift some of the retaliatory tariffs imposed on US goods because of the steel and aluminium tariffs, in particular on US-built boats.
- The Director of Public Prosecutions is looking to hobble SNC-Lavalin’s attempt to get a judicial review of her decision not to grant them a remediation agreement.
- Here’s a look at the issue of two Indigenous groups looking to assert title rights over parts of Lake Huron and Georgian Bay.
- Here’s a look at the Alzheimer’s Society reconsidering their previous position on advanced directives for medical assistance in dying.
- There was some Senate drama as the attempt to study the Double-Hyphen Affair was derailed by a request to get Duffy-era allegations into the mix.
- Outgoing Liberal MP Andrew Leslie will testify in VADM Mark Norman’s defence, which has everyone’s tongues wagging.
- The Conservatives’ report into how they vetted Rick Dykstra amid sexual assault allegations was finally released, and showed they didn’t really vet him. Oops.
- Maxime “I don’t want racists in my party” Bernier has been mixing with “Yellow Vesters” at a Toronto event.
- The Canadian Press’ Baloney Meter™ tests the thesis that the flooding we’re seeing is as a result of climate change.
- Chantal Hébert describes the rudderlessness of the Liberals, whose only election message seems to be the necessity to keep the Conservatives out of power.
- Colby Cosh takes a deeper look into that recent article about how Trudeau’s French apparently drives Quebec columnists crazy.
- Alan Freeman explores the need for federal and provincial politicians to stand firm in getting people to relocate from flood plains in the wake of increasing risk.
- Kevin Carmichael looks at Canada’s problem with complacency as a reason why we’re not so great at productivity – we got too rich too easily.
- Paul Wells suggests that perhaps Trudeau’s best shot in the next election is to run against himself. (Read it – it does make sense).
- My weekend column raises some red flags around MP Frank Baylis’ proposals for reforming the Standing Orders of the House of Commons.
Odds and ends:
Jason Markusoff looks at the use of political handshake photos, and how frame selection is used to illustrate narratives.
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The fight against the carbon tax reminds me of Obamacare. A conservative plan until a liberal ran with it, and all of a sudden it became socialism. Now, as for the campaign: I suppose a modified “low bridge” strategy makes sense; after all, it worked for his father in 1980. But Paul Wells is a big part of the problem that resulted with this mess. Inkless sure gave a lot of ink to the two backstabbers that resulted with all the damage to Justin Trudeau. Buyers’ remorse? Perhaps he became “Howard Hughes” because he realized he couldn’t trust the fourth estate, which has become a fifth column!
That being said, Trudeau himself was initially reluctant to run for the leadership. He warned the (perpetually?) rudderless Liberals not to go all-in hedging their bets on his last name. The leftover hatred of his father and the desire among opponents to destroy a dynasty in the making, he felt would be a liability for them. Begrudgingly, he let them draft him anyway. Perhaps Caroline Mulroney had the right answer: “who would ever want their father’s job?” (Apparently not someone who works for someone who wanted his brother’s job…) Or Chelsea Clinton, or the Bush twins, and probably the Obama girls, for (so far) staying out of the political arena altogether.
Justin was right: he kicked a hornet’s nest, and in part I blame the Liberals themselves for his misfortunes, for their insular cult of personality and for giving him very bad advice. Oddly enough, it seems the rudderlessness really began with their inability to fill the void left by his father. The unstated Trudeau legacy: Sins of the father, Liberals in disarray. Pierre left Turner a lame duck, and his haplessness was in turn further exacerbated by Chretien undermining him, and then Martin’s war with Chretien that led to 10 years of the Harper Reich and apparently did a lot more damage to the party than perhaps even they realize. The Democrats, with their steadily expanding clown car of candidates and endless Berniecrats vs. Hillarycrats infighting, can’t seem to recapture the Obama magic either. A consequence of the media’s celebrity-ization of politics, and the executive office in particular, that probably dates back to the unhealed trauma of losing Camelot. After all, Trudeau fils isn’t the only one to face the daunting prospect of being turfed after one term by backstabbing from within his own party. The Democrats sought to primary Jimmy Carter with none other than Ted Kennedy. We know how that went.
I like Justin and want to see him do well in life and be happy. He’s still young — not even 50 — and hopefully still has a bright future ahead of him, despite the (really) bad PR he’s been on the receiving end as of late. Maybe he’s not such an astute politician simply because he’s not ruthless like Harper, or Chretien or even Pierre. He’s not quite “Mr. Dithers.” He’s more like Mr. Rogers. A Golden Retriever rather than a bulldog. He really is not the caricature that the vitriol of the Con-sponsored M$M and the social media venom-spewers make him out to be. (I’m sure the conspiracy theorists are out in full force about his talks with Cuba’s new president.) If he goes down, at least he goes down fighting. Maybe he’ll be able to help rebuild the party as an actual party and not a (fickle) fan club, albeit with a different star candidate who doesn’t have 50 years of derangement-syndrome baggage weighing them down. Tentative signs on my magic 8-ball point to Chrystia Freeland, and U.N. or U.S. Ambassador Justin Trudeau shaking hands with, er… President (Ivanka) Trump.
In the upcoming election. Canadians will have the perfect opportunity to prove to the world that they are intelligent, forward looking and reject any party that presumes to advocate the conservation of the past. This is a choice that will forever standout as our world enters a very crucial and for some frightening era.
I am not able to predict where we are going but will try to ride out the outcome. What choice will I have. I will however vote for a new vision and that is not conservative.